From the monthly archives:

May 2007

On big race days I like to pick out the whole field sometimes. It makes you a better handicapper as you make the list from who is going to be last and then up. You can pretty much figure out the also-rans and the Derby is a good example as you can usually throw out 5 horses asap. It is about 5 hours until the derby when I post this and it should be fun to see how close I come in. I see an honest pace in the race and John Velazquez closing on Circular Quay but not enough to fight off Scat Daddy.

14  14 Scat Daddy Prado E S Pletcher Todd A 126   L 10-1
16  16 Circular Quay Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 126   L 8-1
7  7 Street Sense Borel C H Nafzger Carl A 126   L 4-1
12  12 Nobiz Like Shobiz Velasquez C Tagg Barclay 126   L 8-1
13  13 Sam P. Dominguez R A Pletcher Todd A 126  Blk-Off L 20-1
18  18 Any Given Saturday Gomez G K Pletcher Todd A 126   L 12-1
3  3 Zanjero Bridgmohan S X Asmussen Steven M 126   L 30-1 
19  19 Dominican Bejarano R Miller Darrin 126   L 20-1
8  8 Hard Spun Pino M G Jones J Larry 126   L 15-1
15  15 Tiago Smith M E Shirreffs John 126   L 15-1
6  6 Cowtown Cat Jara F Pletcher Todd A 126   L 20-1
2  2 Curlin Albarado R J Asmussen Steven M 126   L 7-2
20  20 Great Hunter Nakatani C S O’Neill Doug 126   L 15-1
9  9 Liquidity Flores D R O’Neill Doug 126  Blk-Off L 30-1
17  17 Stormello Desormeaux K J Currin William L 126   L 30-1
4  4 Storm in May Leyva J C Kaplan William A 126   L 30-1
10  10 Teuflesberg Elliott S Sanders Jamie  126   L 30-1
5  5 Imawildandcrazyguy Guidry M Kaplan William A 126   L 50-1 
11  11 Bwana Bull Castellano J J Hollendorfer Jerry 126   L 50-1
1  1 Sedgefield Leparoux J R Miller Darrin 126   L 50-1

G morning all – Its derby day and you know I have to share who I like in the race. After a lot of reading I am going with Scat Daddy.

All of Todd Pletcher horse have a shot at being in the money except Sam P who may surprise a lot of people when he runs and could get 4th or 5th. If you were to tak Todds 5 horses and and Cash Asmusen’s two horses and box all seven you could have a nice paying Superfecta.

The horse Curlin will go off as a favorite but 3 races are not enough and he will be fed to the wolves by the other jockeys in the race as he is the one to shoot for. He may be near the front but I think the distance is too much for him.